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4% Model - Determine Stock Market Direction for Amibroker (AFL)
Model discovered by Ned Davis. This is used to determine the direction of the stock Market. Once you know the direction the go LONG/SHORT an index ETF or your Favorite stock. This model was made know by Martin Zweig in his book Winning on Wall Street.
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/*------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MTR Investors Group - www.MTRIG.com System: 4% Model discovered by Ned Davis. This is used to determine the direction of the stock Market. Once you know the direction the go LONG/SHORT an index ETF or your Favorite stock. This model was made know by Martin Zweig in his book Winning on Wall Street. NOTE: This formula is the classic model. To see daily automated results of an enhanced version of this formula stop by www.MTRIG.com. How To Use: 1. This system works ONLY with the Value Line Arithmetic Index. In Yahoo! the symbol is ^VAY. Try to run it on the NASDAQ, SP500, or the DOW the results are poor. 2. Overlay the system to see BUY/SELL indicators on a ^VAY chart. 3. Run a back-test on the ^VAY symbol to test the results. --------------------------------- Returns: 1/1/1998 to 6/20/2009 Net Risk Adjusted Return: 408.01% Winners: 45.57% --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------*/ //VC = The Close of the Value Line Arithmetic Index VC = Foreign("^VAY", "Close"); //Compute the percent change of the VAY week over week. PCTChange = ((VC - Ref(VC,-5 ) ) / Ref(VC,-5 ) ) * 100; //Look for 4% changes this week compared to last week. PCT_B = 4; PCT_S = 4; PCT_S = PCT_S * -1; // BUYS And SELLS xBuy = PCTChange >= PCT_B; xSell = PCTChange <= PCT_S; PlotBuy = ExRem(xBuy ,xSell); PlotSell = ExRem(xSell ,xBuy ); Buy = (PlotBuy); Sell = (PlotSell ); Short=Sell; Cover=Buy; PlotShapes(shapeUpArrow * PlotBuy , colorGreen, 0,L); PlotShapes(shapeDownArrow * PlotSell , colorRed, 0,H);
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Thank you for posting the formula posted by MTR Investors Group
The 4% model is part of the formula that we use on our very successful timing model (MTR-TM) screen shot below.
Great work on your site posting this valuable information for investors.
Ned
Very interesting formula. Would you be so kind as to post the updated version of this formula as shown in your comment (above)with Z-Score, RSI and Volume. Thanks kindly.
Dick Hoierman
areehoi@yahoo.com